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3

Agricultural Knowledge and Technology in Latin America and the Caribbean: Plausible Scenarios for Sustainable Development

Coordinating Lead Authors:
Hector D. Ginzo (Argentina), Suzana M. Valle Lima (Brazil)

Lead Authors:
Salisha Bellamy (Trinidad and Tobago), Antonio Maria Gomes de
Castro (Brazil), Falguni Guharay (Nicaragua), Roberto Saldaña (Mexico)

Review Editor:
Javier Souza Casadinho (Argentina)

Key Messages

3.1 Objectives of the Chapter 114
3.2 Conceptual Framework 114
3.3 Methodology 115
3.4 Scenarios: AKST and Sustainable Development in LAC in the Future (2007-2030) 124
  3.4.1 Global Orchestration 125
    3.4.1.1 2007-2015 125
      3.4.1.1.1 Context of AKST systems and agricultural production 125
      3.4.1.1.2 AKST systems 131
      3.4.1.1.3 Agricultural production systems 137
      3.4.1.1.4 Result of interaction between the systems 137
    3.4.1.2 2016-2030 138
      3.4.1.2.1 Context of AKST systems and agricultural production 138
      3.4.1.2.2 AKST Systems 139
      3.4.1.2.3 Agricultural production systems 139
      3.4.1.2.4 Results of interaction among the systems 140
  3.4.2 Order from strength 140
    3.4.2.1 2007-2015 140
      3.4.2.1.1 Context of AKST systems and agricultural production 140
      3.4.2.1.2 AKST systems 141
      3.4.2.1.3 Agricultural production systems 141
      3.4.2.1.4 Results of interaction among the systems 142
    3.4.2.2 2016-2030 142
      3.4.2.2.1 Context of AKST systems and agricultural production 142
      3.4.2.2.2 AKST systems 143
      3.4.2.2.3 Agricultural production systems 143
      3.4.2.2.4 Results of interaction among the systems 144
  3.4.3 Life as it is 144
    3.4.3.1 2007-2015 144
      3.4.3.1.1 Context of the AKST systems and agricultural production 144
      3.4.3.1.2 AKST systems 145
      3.4.3.1.3 Agricultural production systems 146
      3.4.3.1.4 Results of interaction among the systems 146
 
    3.4.3.2 2016-2030 147
      3.4.3.2.1 Context of AKST systems and agricultural production 147
      3.4.3.2.2 AKST systems 148
      3.4.3.2.3 Agricultural production systems 148
      3.4.3.2.4 Results of interaction among the systems 149
  3.4.4 Adapting Mosaic 149
    3.4.4.1 2007-2015 149
      3.4.4.1.1 Context of AKST systems and agricultural production 149
      3.4.4.1.2 AKST systems 150
      3.4.4.1.3 Productive agricultural systems 151
      3.4.4.1.4 Results of interaction among the systems 151
    3.4.4.2 2016-2030 151
      3.4.4.2.1 Context of AKST systems and agricultural production 151
      3.4.4.2.2 AKST systems 152
      3.4.4.2.3 Agricultural production systems 153
      3.4.4.2.4 Results of interaction among the systems 153
  3.4.5 TechnoGarden 153
    3.4.5.1 2007-2015 153
      3.4.5.1.1 Context of AKST systems and agricultural production 153
      3.4.5.1.2 AKST Systems 155
      3.4.5.1.3 Agricultural production systems 155
      3.4.5.1.4 Results of interaction among the systems 156
    3.4.5.2 2016-2030 156
      3.4.5.2.1 Context of AKST systems and agricultural production 156
      3.4.5.2.2 AKST systems 158
      3.4.5.2.3 Agricultural production systems 158
      3.4.5.2.4 Results of interaction among the systems 159
3.5 Implications of the Scenarios for Innovation and Development Policies 159
  3.5.1 Global Orchestration 160
    3.5.1.1 Implications for innovation policies 160
    3.5.1.2 Implications for sustainable development policies 160
  3.5.2 Order from strength 161
    3.5.2.1 Implications for innovation policies 161
    3.5.2.2 Implications for sustainable development policies 161
  3.5.3 Life as it is 161
    3.5.3.1 Implications for innovation policies 161
    3.5.3.2 Implications for sustainable development policies 162
  3.5.4 Adapting Mosaic 162
    3.5.4.1 Implications for innovation policies 162
    3.5.4.2 Implications for sustainable development policies 162
  3.5.5 TechnoGarden 163
    3.5.5.1 Implications for innovation policies 163
    3.5.5.2 Implications for sustainable development policies 163
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