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318 | IAASTD Global Report

Table 5-4. Per capita food availability, various agricultural commodities, by IAASTD region.

Source: IFPRI IMPACT model simulations.

 

2000

2025

2050

2000

2025

2050

2000

2025

2050

2000

2025

2050

2000

2025

2050

 

 

NAE

 

 

CWANA

 

 

ESAP

 

 

LAC

 

 

SSA

 

Meat

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Beef

24

26

25

6

8

11

4

7

9

25

28

30

5

7

11

Pork

32

32

31

0

0

0

16

20

19

9

10

11

1

2

3

Lamb

2

2

2

5

7

8

1

2

3

1

1

1

2

2

2

Poultry

25

31

30

8

11

13

7

12

19

23

29

33

3

4

6

Eggs

12

12

13

4

4

5

9

11

13

8

9

9

2

2

3

Milk

102

107

113

59

64

77

22

31

42

84

86

89

17

21

31

Cereals

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Rice

6

7

8

16

17

19

94

90

82

26

26

25

18

24

30

Wheat

108

112

112

146

141

142

58

59

60

51

49

49

20

24

33

Maize

9

9

10

14

14

16

14

13

13

48

45

45

49

40

39

Sorghum

0

0

0

8

8

11

3

2

2

0

0

0

20

21

28

Millet

0

0

0

1

2

3

3

3

3

0

0

0

16

21

29

Other grain

9

7

6

5

5

5

1

1

1

1

1

1

2

2

3

Root crops & Tubers

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Potato

86

74

70

29

25

25

23

21

24

27

25

29

10

9

9

Sweet potato &yam

1

1

1

1

1

1

18

12

7

4

4

4

44

42

34

Cassava

0

0

0

2

2

2

9

8

6

25

22

19

117

111

94

Soybean

0

0

0

0

0

0

5

4

3

1

1

1

1

1

2

Vegetable

88

108

129

65

71

86

100

137

141

40

47

61

29

34

43

Sugar cane/ Beet

36

42

44

21

26

32

11

16

20

38

43

49

16

17

20

Sweetener

11

13

15

0

0

0

1

1

1

1

2

2

0

0

0

Subtropical fruit

55

66

76

59

66

85

47

65

79

90

98

122

33

38

44

Temperate fruit

24

29

37

26

28

32

10

13

14

5

6

9

0

0

0

Oils

28

31

35

13

15

20

10

16

25

14

17

26

8

10

15

 

Source: IFPRI IMPACT model simulations.

Table 5-5. Bovines for the reference run, by IAASTD region (billion head).

Region

2000

2010

2020

2030

2040

2050

CWANA

0.124

0.162

0.192

0.218

0.237

0.248

ESAP

0.578

0.745

0.911

1.055

1.165

1.209

LAC

0.349

0.430

0.507

0.566

0.610

0.627

NAE

0.268

0.288

0.306

0.311

0.304

0.282

SSA

0.179

0.219

0.253

0.273

0.278

0.270

World

1.498

1.844

2.170

2.423

2.593

2.636

Source: ILRI SLAM model simulations.

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