Looking into the Future for Agriculture and AKST

Coordinating Lead Authors   5.3.2 Inputs into the reference world 314
Mark W. Rosegrant (USA), Maria Fernandez (Peru), Anushree Sinha   5.3.3 Description of reference world outcomes 316
(India)    Food sector 316    Global trends in water availability and emerging
Lead Authors     challenges to water supply 324
Jackie Alder (Canada), Helal Ahammad (Australia), Charlotte de    Results for energy production and use 326
Fraiture (Netherlands), Bas Eickhout (Netherlands), Jorge Fonseca    Climate 327
(Costa Rica), Jikun Huang (China), Osamu Koyama (Japan),    Environmental consequences—land use change 327
Abdallah Mohammed Omezzine (Oman), Prabhu Pingali (USA),    Environmental consequences—forests and terrestrial
Ricardo Ramirez (Canada/Mexico), Claudia Ringler (Germany),     biodiversity 328
Scott Robinson (USA), Phil Thornton (UK), Detlef van Vuuren   5.4 Assessment of Selected, Major Policy Issues 330
(Netherlands), Howard Yana-Shapiro (USA)   5.4.1 Climate change policies and agriculture 330
      5.4.2 Trade policies and international market constraints 331
Contributing Authors   5.4.3 Investment in AKST 333
Kristie Ebi (USA), Russ Kruska (USA), Poonam Munjal (India),   5.4.4 Focus on bioenergy 340
Clare Narrod (USA), Sunil Ray (India), Timothy Sulser (USA), Carla   5.4.5 The scope of improving water productivity 341
Tamagno (Peru), Mark van Oorschot (Netherlands), Tingju Zhu   5.4.6 Changing preferences for meat and certified organic
(China)     products 343
      5.5 Emerging Issues that Influence the Future 346
Review Editors   5.5.1 Interface of human, animal, and plant health 346
R.S. Deshpande (India), Sergio Ulgiati (Italy)   5.5.2 Information and communication technology and tradtional and
        local knowledge 349
      5.5.3 Food safety and food security 350
      5.5.4 Biotechnology and biodiversity 352
Key Messages   5.6 Implications of Policy Simulations and Emerging Policy
5.1 Scope of the Chapter and How to Use the Results 309     Issues: Synergies and Tradeoffs 354
5.2 Rationale and Description of Selected Tools 310   5.6.1 Poverty and equity 354
5.2.1 Rationale for model selection 310   5.6.2 Hunger, health and food security 354
5.2.2 Interactions of models in this assessment 313   5.6.3 Natural resources and environmental sustainability 355
5.3 Description of Reference World, Including   5.7 Implications for AKST in the Future 355
  Quantification 314     Appendix. Model Descriptions 356
5.3.1 Rationale of reference world 314