| and from markets associated with intensive systems have    increased risks of large epidemics, even though biosecurity at individual units    has been improved (e.g., Defra, 2006). It has been argued that intensive    systems have also produced new and dangerous diseases such as E.coli    0157:H57 and BSE (Walker et al., 2005). These epidemics have sometimes    devastated livestock sectors in Europe and    have largely been controlled by a slaughter policy, although for some pig and    poultry diseases vaccination and the routine use of antibiotics have become    common practice since the 1950s. The use of antibiotics as growth promoters    and disease control agents in NAE livestock production has caused serious concern    because of the rise of antibiotic resistant bacteria in humans    (Khachatourians, 1998; Mellon et al., 2001). Food safety    issues are also important in the meat industry in North     America. In 1995, an outbreak of E coli 0157:H57 killed    several children who had eaten fast food hamburgers in Washington state. This event led to a    revolution in food safety procedures in red meat, seafood and poultry in the US with the    creation and adoption of new food safety rules (see 2.8.4). Food safety    concerns about Salmonella and Listeria continue to be of    concern throughout the NAE livestock sector (Johnston, 2000; Raijaic et al.,    2007).
 Advances in    productivity in the NAE livestock sector would not have been possible without    public investments in AKST. In particular, many new genetic selection techniques    were developed through public universities and disseminated through    extension services. Today, much of the actual genetics has been privatized and    is now maintained primarily in the private sector, although performance measures    for stud selection are still provided in the public realm. In the same way,    the research that developed the HACCP approach to food safety was performed    by public entities like USDA-Agricultural Research Service and enforcement is    still performed through USDA. Finally, many of the engineering advances that    allowed the development of large-scale climate controlled buildings for    poultry and swine and for handling wastes from these systems were developed    in the public sector and disseminated widely.
 2.5.3 Key changes in the NAE livestock sector Livestock productivity and output in NAE has increased    enormously since  1945  driven by policy (especially the CAP),  government     subsidies  (Starmer  and Wise,     2007) and increasing population and wealth. AKST has been a key driver    of growth in the livestock sector and is likely to remain so in the future.    Europe and North America have been exporters    of livestock sector AKST to the rest of the world.
 For the past    30 years much of NAE has been producing far more meat and dairy products than    it needs with the EU and NAFTA blocks becoming some of the world's leading    exporters, particularly in pork (EU), chicken and beef (NA). The search for    more market sector has led to dumping of these products in less wealthy    countries with consequent damage to the economic status of their agricultural    producers. In common with the rest of the developed world, milk, beef, pig    meat and poultry are among the most valuable agricultural commodities    produced by European farmers.
 Much of    European lowland and landless livestock production is the most intensive in    the world and this has had
 |   | serious adverse impacts on the European environment. Similar    situations exist in N. America because of    the increased geographical concentration of livestock production. Across NAE,    livestock enterprises have become fewer and larger due to economies of scale    and this trend is likely to continue especially in the CEE region of EU-25. Developments    in genetics, management systems and meat handling in NAE, combined with the    geographical shifts in production, allowed significant restructuring in the    beef, pork and poultry sectors leading to the development of confined animal    feeding operations, contractual relationships in marketing and specialization    in livestock agriculture.
 Subsidy-led    policies are moving away from production-led subsidies towards a more    market-led and environmentally friendly system, but there are still    substantial direct and indirect subsidies paid to most livestock sectors that    reduces the competitiveness of developing countries.
 2.6      Changes in Forestry Systems In North America and Europe,    forests and woodlands have always been the dominant vegetation cover. NAE    forests are largely derived from natural vegetation dominated by deciduous    trees in the south and west and vast areas of conifers towards the north and    east that make up over 50% of total forest cover.
 NAE forests    have been exploited by humans for timber supplies, fuel, food (e.g., nuts,    fungi and berries), for cork (the EU is the largest producer of cork with    over 80% of the world market) and for paper fiber, while still providing a    significant proportion of the renewable energy used by both industrial and    domestic consumers. Forests also provide valuable and irreplaceable    ecosystem services such as water resource protection, biodiversity and carbon    dioxide fixation (MA, 2005). For example, approximately 140,000 species of    plants, animal and micro-organisms are estimated to occur in Canada of    which approximately 66% are found in the forests (Canadian Forest    Service, 2003).
 2.6.1 Main trends in NAE    forests and forestry production NAE is the only world region where there has been an increase    in forest area since the 1960s. In 1630, when conversion of North American    forests to agricultural land began, 50% of US lands were forests. Today,    forests are approximately 33%, but since the 1980s have been increasing by    0.3% per annum. The US    growing stock volume increased 39% from 1953 to 2002. The 415 million ha of    Canadian forests represent 10% of the world's forests, with 20% of the    world's fresh water flowing from its watersheds. Forests cover 45% of the    land mass of Canada (Lowe    et al., 1996) although it is unclear whether forest cover in Canada is    stable or contracting (CANFI, 2004).
 Forests in Europe have been expanding over the past 40 years by    around 0.8% p.a., about 880,000 ha per year. This has been mainly due to an    increase in plantations, reversion of agricultural land and decreased    harvesting activity especially in the Russian Federation. The Russian Federation accounts for over 90% of an    estimated 1.5m ha per year natural re-colonization of non-forest land in Europe (Kuu-sela 1994; TBFRA, 2000; UNEP, 2002). It has    more than
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