Agricultural Knowledge and Technology in Latin America and the Caribbean: Plausible Scenarios for Sustainable Development | 133

Table 3-4. continued.

Variable

Global
Orchestration

Order from
Strength
Life as it is Adapting Mosaic
TechnoGarden

Governance

Governance
reasonably
improves but not
uniformly across
the region. By
2030 problems
derived from
the biophysical
and social
environments
become serious.

There is a marked
worsening of
governance

Governance
ranges from
mediocre to bad
Governance
progressively
improves across
the region until
becoming optimal
just in some
countries by 2030
Governance is optimal
across the region by
2030

Policies for
development

Policies are not
even across LAC,
but show a clear
trend to becoming
uniform

Widely divergent
policies across
LAC at the
beginning, but
they become more
uniform by 2030,
because of the
pressure exerted
by countries
endowed with
(comparatively)
abundant
resources

Widely divergent
policies across
LAC, but generally
addressing
biosecurity issues.
Scarce resources
are allocated to
social policies
Policies are
improved and made
more consistent
across LAC, with
emphasis on the
development
of traditional
knowledge and the
conservation of the
environment and
biodiversity
Policies are improved
and made more
consistent across
LAC, with focus
education, traditional
knowledge and the
environment and
biodiversity
Management of
regulations and
standards
It vastly improves
throughout the
region
There is an
improvement
in management
because countries
endowed with
(comparatively)
abundant
resources press
for it, progress is
slow
It does not
substantially
change, because
of lack of
consistency
across LAC
countries
It fastly improves
throughout, but not
a the same pace
across the region
It vastly improves
throughout the region.
Quality standards and
certification processes
become universal
across the region
Education of
productive
system-actors
Strong public
and private
investments in
education
Scarce public
and private
investments in
education
Scarce
investments in
education at the
beginning, but
social demand for
education makes
the private sector
to get involved into
its improvement
by 2030
Scarce investments
in education at
the beginning;
however, resources
are substantially
increased by 2030
There is a
remarkable increase
in investments,
particularly in private
education. This even
reaches the most
vulnerable population
Social monitoring
of innovation
In general, public
in LAC has trust in
the outcomes of
innovation
There is some
public distrust
of innovation,
because its
stewardship is in
the hands of social
elites
The public
sector leads in
innovation but as
it progressively
becomes under
funded, the space
thus relinquished
is taken up by the
private sector
The social control of
innovation becomes
the norm, and the
focus of research
is mostly aimed to
solve environmental
problems.
There is a growing
public trust on
the outcomes of
innovation