342 | IAASTD Global Report

     Fortunately, there is ample scope to improve water pro­ductivity and basin efficiency, to minimize additional water needs (Molden et al., 2007). AKST plays an important role in achieving these improvements. Three broad avenues to increase agricultural production while minimizing water use are to (CA, 2007) (1) improve productivity in rainfed settings, (2) increase productivity in irrigated areas, and (3) expand international agricultural trade. The scope and relevant pol­icy measures differ considerably by region (Table 5-20).
5.4.5.1 SSA
Considering the ample physical potential and the willing­ness of donors to invest in African agriculture, the scope of irrigated area expansion is large. But the contribution of irrigation to food supply will likely remain limited (less than 11% of total food production), even after doubling its area. The investment cost of doubling the irrigated area is high and to make this investment economically viable massive investments in marketing infrastructure are needed

 

(roads, storage, communication) (Rosegrant et al., 2005). On the other hand, investments in irrigated area expansion for high-value crops (vegetables, cotton, fruits) can be an important vehicle for rural growth, and poverty alleviation particularly when geared to smallholders. Without substan­tial improvements in the productivity of rainfed agriculture, food production in SSA will fall short of demand. From a biophysical point of view, water harvesting techniques have proven successful in boosting yields, often up to a two or threefold increase (Röckstrom, 2003, 2007). But, low adop­tion rates of water harvesting techniques indicate that up-scaling local successes pose major challenges for AKST.

5.4.5.2 South Asia
In South-Asia 95% of the areas suitable for agriculture are in use, of which more than half are irrigated. The biggest scope for improvement lies in the irrigated sector where yields are low compared to the obtainable level. Under a high productivity variant, all additional water and land for

Table 5-20. Regional variation in scope for productivity improvements and area expansion.

Region

Scope for improved productivity in rain-fed areas

Scope for improved productivity in irrigated areas

Scope for irrigated area expansion

Need for imports

High potential options in agricultural water management

sub-Saharan Africa

+++

+

+++

 

•   water harvesting and supplemental irrigation; resource-conserving agricultural practices to mitigate land degradation
•   small-scale irrigation geared to smallholders
•   multiple use water systems to alleviate poverty
•   adopt development approaches that combine access to markets, soil fertility and irrigation infrastructure

MENA

+

+

 

+++

•   use of low quality water
•   coping with increased sectoral competition and water pollution
•   integrating livestock with irrigation

C. Asia, E. Europe

+

++

+

 

•   institutional reforms in irrigated areas
•   restore ecosystems services
•   modernize large-scale irrigation systems

South Asia

+++

+++

+

+

•   institutional reforms in irrigated areas
•   integrating livestock and fisheries
•   water harvesting and supplemental irrigation; resource-conserving practices to mitigate land degradation

East Asia

++

+++

+

++

•   water productivity in rice
•   reducing groundwater overdraft

Latin America

++

+

+

 

•   land expansion and sustainable land use
•   support and regulation of private irrigation

OECD

+

+

+

 

•   coping with increased sectoral competition

Key: +++ high, ++ medium, - low, - very limited

Source: Derived from CA scenario analysis (CA, 2007)