| ducing    turnover and alleviating many problems relating to seasonal migration (FAO,    2002). •   There are environmental benefits.  Contamination of ground and surface waters    by synthetic fertilizers, especially nitrate leaching, and pesticides are    avoided and sedimentation of waterways from erosion is reduced (FAO, 2002).    Calculations on comparative energy use in OECD countries indicate that energy    consumption on organic farms is 64% that of conventional farms (FAO, 2002).    In a three-year comparative study on organic and conventional strawberry    production in China, 98% of the energy inputs in the organic systems were    from renewable sources, such as animal manure and biogas, whereas 70% of the    energy inputs into the conventional system were nonrenewable, such as    electricity, chemical fertilizers and pesticides (FAO, 2002).
 •   Organic agriculture also makes a positive    contribution to dealing with climate change: "Organic agriculture may    not only enable ecosystems to better adjust to the effects of climate change    but also offer a major potential to reduce emissions of agricultural    greenhouse gases. Moreover, mixed farming and the diversity of organic crop    rotations are protecting the fragile soil surface and may even counteract    climate change by restoring the organic matter content. The carbon sink idea    of the Kyoto Protocol may therefore partly be accomplished efficiently by    organic agriculture" (FAO, 2002).
 •   Organic agriculture can be considered more    flexible, especially when labor is more readily available and high inorganic    inputs or mechanization are limited.
 The expansion    or benefits of organic agriculture, especially on the need to meet increased    food demand, raises major doubts: •   Available technology cannot greatly    increase the productivity of organic agriculture because it is constrained    by nutrient supply. Agriculture of any type is an extractive activity that    cannot retain high fertility and productivity without  replacing nutrients exported with the    products or lost from the site during production. Although high-yielding    crops can be produced organically, this is achieved, once natural fertility    has been exploited, only by bringing in nutrients from other areas, as plant    remains or animal feces, or by accumulating them in situ in long fallows, as    in slash-and-burn farming. The consequence, not evident to most consumers    and overlooked by many proponents, is that a much greater land area than is    immediately apparent is involved in successful organic production. In    contrast, crops can be grown more frequently and often repeatedly with    fertilizers on the same land, as in the examples of intensive rice and    rice-wheat systems.
 •   It is the shortage of land that will    restrict the contribution that organic agriculture can make to the world    food supply. Organic agriculture was the norm at the beginning of the 1900s,    when the world population was 1.5 billion. Now there is not enough land or    organic matter to support the crop production needed for the present, let    alone the anticipated world population.
 •   Adoption of organic agriculture rates are    less than 0.1% of arable and permanent agricultural land in nearly all
 |   | developing    economies in Asia and the Pacific, suggesting    that most farmers do not believe organic agriculture can produce food at    competitive costs (FAO, 2005). Sometimes production costs per unit of land in    organic agriculture are lower than in conventional agriculture. Usually they    are higher, which means organic farming is profitable only if the produce can    be sold at higher prices. Indeed, prices for organic output are higher, but    in developing countries this higher price consigns such produce to niche    markets. •   Organic agriculture cannot be the solution    to food production for a heavily populated planet. Poor households benefit    from greater yields by adopting improved practices. Yield gains from a low    base are usually the greatest, but productivity of these systems is probably    insufficient to meet future food demand. Nevertheless, the principles of    organic agriculture will remain as an important  contributor     to   safe   and     environmentally friendly food production, since they remain firmly embedded    in integrated agriculture.
 2.4.2     Improving nutrition and human healthWith rapid    increase in food production and rise in income, food consumption per capita    in ESAP countries has risen significantly during the past 50 years. Since    1990, direct cereal consumption leveled off for the whole region, mainly    from the decline in direct cereal consumption in China (Figure 2-8). On the other    hand, meat consumption rose in ESAP, led by China's steady increase. The same    change was, however, absent in India    and Indonesia    (Figure 2-9).
 In spite of the remarkable growth in agricultural    production within ESAP during the last four decades, hundreds of millions of    people still live in hunger and poverty. The proportion in developing    countries of underfed population—with dietary energy consumption inadequate    to sustain more than light activity—was estimated to have fallen    substantially in the last 15 years, from around one in three people in 1975,    to one in five in 1989. This implies a considerable reduction, from nearly    1,000 million people to just below 800 million. This was considerably    influenced by the improving situation in China. South Asia probably    improved slowly, according to recent results from India and elsewhere, at around a    0.5% reduction in underweight children each year.
 The prevalence of underweight children    in South Asia remained the highest in the    world, over half the total. Calorie consumption remained low throughout the    1980s, with little change, although this might have improved slightly for    some poorer groups, such as the landless. Nutrition in many countries of Southeast Asia improved, reducing underweight    prevalence about 1% each year. Food consumption rose during the 1980s, along    with marked success in food production. A number of countries changed from net    food importing to exporting.
 Iron deficiency, a cause of anemia, is    the only nutritional problem that increased in many parts of the world. Prevalence    is especially high in South Asia, where more    than 60% of women are anemic. The worsening anemia is from downward trends    in intake of dietary iron and has been caused by reduced production and    consumption of legumes with the
 |